{"id":92163,"date":"2026-01-06T08:40:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T14:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/?p=92163"},"modified":"2026-01-06T08:40:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T14:40:17","slug":"kokotajlo-and-his-co-authors-revise-their-expectations-for-when-ai-might-be-able-to-code-autonomously-putting-this-as-likely-to-happen-in-the-early-2030s-as-opposed-to-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/?p=92163","title":{"rendered":"\u201cKokotajlo and his co-authors revise their expectations for when AI might be able to code autonomously, putting this as likely to happen in the early 2030s, as opposed to 2027\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2026\/jan\/06\/leading-ai-expert-delays-timeline-possible-destruction-humanity\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2026\/jan\/06\/leading-ai-expert-delays-timeline-possible-destruction-humanity<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe new forecast sets 2034 as the new horizon for \u201csuperintelligence\u201d<\/p>\n<p>2034 might as well be 2070. This is very encouraging. He is really talking about \u201csingularity\u201d, I guess superintelligence is the rebranding.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2026\/jan\/06\/leading-ai-expert-delays-timeline-possible-destruction-humanity \u201cThe new forecast sets 2034 as the new horizon for \u201csuperintelligence\u201d 2034 might as well be 2070. This is very encouraging. He is really talking about \u201csingularity\u201d, I guess superintelligence is the rebranding.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[28,40],"class_list":["post-92163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-share","tag-ifttt","tag-pinboard-jgordon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=92163"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92163\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":92164,"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92163\/revisions\/92164"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=92163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=92163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.kateva.org\/sh\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=92163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}