Link. Derek Lowe, scientist and journalist, writes his Harris endorsement. This one line stood out for me because I think we all need to get real about what we are working with and will always be working with. People are often pretty bad.
Plague (Yersinia pestis) probably contributed to neolithic decline 5,300y ago.
Link. In a Scandinavian sample 1/6 had active infections at time of death and that probably understates mortality. The 541AD Justinian plague killed about 40 million and contributed to collapse of Western Europe.
WaPo suicide: “Lying hurts any person or institution’s credibility. But it’s absolute poison to a news organization.”
Link. If Bezos will do this he’ll do anything to WaPo needed to preserve his power. Much as Musk has with X. WaPo’s only hope is a new owner.
“Instead of a clean break between North America and Europe, there appears to be a complex mix of magma and continental crust fragments”
Link. As we learn more we discover that “continent” is debatable. Not surprising.
“There are basically only two major continents,” Dr. Rime said. “Antarctica and everything else”
Musk: “He has even offered his own sperm to friends and acquaintances, including the former independent vice-presidential candidate Nicole Shanahan,”
Link. My earlier prediction that in a Musk-Vance regime Elon’s sperm would be sold in pharmacies was not well received.
Musk’s eugenics concerns do not get taken seriously. Neither do his AI concerns.
Thoughtful review of a political scientist’s evolving view of democratic stability. 🆓
Link. “Polarization raises the stakes of politics, giving cover to any politician inclined to flout democratic norms, because almost nothing could persuade members of their party to vote for the other side”
Parliamentary systems may be less fragile.
ClassicPress as a WordPress alternative.
Link. Meanwhile Blogger never changes and still works about as well as it ever did.
“46.5% of the ML-evaluated embryos led to successful pregnancies, versus 48.2% of the human-evaluated ones”
Link. Not bad AI performance, but not good enough. This time the humans hold, and medical imaging AI was expected to beat the wetware.
Liz Cheney: “canceled her subscription to The Washington Post because the newspaper’s owner, Jeff Bezos, decided not to endorse Harris for president under the fig leaf of forgoing endorsements.”
Link. Cancel today. If Bezos sells the paper you can rejoin. You are canceling the automatic renewal. Remember the hidden cancel button fakeout WaPo uses.
Low wage immigrants and wage suppression: “I’m with my own lying eyes and with Donald Trump — and against most individual economists and respected think tanks”
Link. I agree.
“an issue to which higher-education white-collar workers shamefully have turned blind eyes and deaf ears, and to which ivory-tower think tanks have tried to defuse”
How to deep link to a specific PDF page
Link. Example: https://bit.ly/4ffO6Mk
Orion.
Link. “… has been teased by an OpenAI executive as potentially up to 100 times more powerful than GPT-4”
Next is to combine with o1.
“Sequoia 15.1 … 28 October …. networking bug fixes”
Link. Sounds like worthy of consideration.
WaPo humor columnist: “Democracy is like that: fragile, but only if you shatter it …. Trust is like that, too, as newspapers know.”
Link. When you cancel WaPo don’t be fooled by their hiding the second button. Scroll down. If you don’t see a cancellation email they fooled you
It cancels renewal. In case Bezos exits.
Musk “in regular contact with Putin since late 2022, according to The Wall Street Journal. Their conversations have been wide-ranging, touching on personal issues, business and geopolitics…”
Link. Personal issues.
Mariel Garza, LA Times Editorials editor: “I want to make it clear that I am not OK with us being silent…”
Link. “… In dangerous times, honest people need to stand up.”
She quit her job and became a hero.
Study that showed no effect of puberty blockers on mental health unpublished because researcher didn’t like the results.
Link. Lots of times data doesn’t support a researcher’s expectations. The good ones publish. The worst one’s change the data. This isn’t as bad as changing the data, but it’s bad.
“Goldman and Apple misled consumers about interest-free payment options for Apple devices, charging substantial interest”
Link. Apple going Boeing.
The stupid and obscure way to see what you bought from Apple.
Link. Going Boeing.
JPEG XL not off to a good start.
Link. HEIC looks like a dead end too. Maybe we should just do DNG RAW.
“two-dimensional sheet of metal wrapped into a sphere, … remains 2D in the sense that you can locate any point on it with a longitude and a latitude”
Link. Best explanation of holographic cosmologies I have read.
Internals modeled by “conformal field theory”, a variation of QFT.
Several techniques that attempt to create LLMs that learn without recompiling.
Link. In a few months we should learn if any work.
“the press is just covering Trump like a normie candidate because they don’t know what else to do” 🆓
Link. True that independents don’t read.
ASCII and EBCDIC: the history
Link. More subtle than I imagined.
Claude XML tags facilitate prompt understanding: “…
Link. “There are no canonical “best” XML tags that Claude has been trained with in particular, although we recommend that your tag names make sense with the information they surround.”
Should work with any LLM.
PBMs: “Express Scripts had been paying Yough Valley Pharmacy about $9 for a three-month supply. When Ms. Miller switched to Express Scripts’ mail-order pharmacy, the P.B.M. paid itself more than $26.”
Link. Pharmacy Benefit Managers owned by CVS discriminate against local small pharmacies.
Inclusionary Zoning: “proportion (… of units in new housing developments to be affordable for low- and moderate-income households”
Link. Article explains how it can be funded — most often by city residents though usually the cost is hidden.
“few apps have been shipped using Xcode 16 so far, e.g. because doing so will make apps that use Quick Look crash.”
Link. Is Apple a terrible place to work now?
LLM math skills restored with “watch for trick question” prompt.
Link. Despair restored?
Passkeys Credential Exchange: “Implementing passkeys in a real-life project is 100x harder than you might initially think”
Link. Lots of illuminating commentary in this Tsai roundup.
Doctorow says don’t whine helplessly. Use RSS.
Link. Feedbin is my fave subscription.
“Scientific Reports has some serious problems with the papers it’s letting through … the publishers (Springer Nature) are not doing enough to address them”
Link. Science fraud is supported by the publishers of Nature.
“red flags for fraud … tortured phrases … irrelevant content, irrelevant citations, meaningless gibberish, a nonsensical figure, and material recycled from other publications.”
Hard to miss. Unless you want to not see.
Tulsa OK paying college grads 25K to relocate to Tulsa.
Link. And provides support to try to retain them. 3000 so far.
Remember: Musk, Andreessen and Horowitz spent millions to fight American democracy.
Link. Musk in particular. These are very bad people. Don’t use X.
“OpenAI just this morning finalized a raise of another $6.5 billion dollars at a staggering $157 billion post-money valuation. That feels more like a digital God valuation to me than a platform for developers in an increasingly competitive space.”
Link. And you thought Tesla was overpriced.
Quanta Magazine: Space-Time demotion in process
Link. Space and Time as emergent rather than fundamental properties of reality. 8 essays and video. The launch page is flashy but the articles are sensible HTML. So much to love here.
Megan Marshack, the lady with Nelson Rockefeller.
Link. “Knowing he loved Oreo cookies, she showed up for her job interview with a tray of them individually wrapped, each tied with a bow.”
In her obit she mostly kept her long silence.
Canvas announcement: ChatGPT for coding.
Link. I’ll probably restart a subscription to try this.
Oakley tries to make sense of Sequoia windows management.
Link. He is fearless but even he doesn’t dare look at what happens when one combines Spaces with dual monitors with the newer windows management options. It’s a total mess.
My guess is Apple doesn’t want us to have multiple monitors but rather to wear Vision Pro headsets with vast virtual spaces.
9 Monkeys Die in Hong Kong Zoo: infection or toxin?
Link. Gilliam’s movie had 12 monkeys so no worries.
There is going to be a lot of attention on this until it’s understood. The NYT headline is atypically cautious.
“I don’t find the evidence that Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson have produced to test the institutional theory of development to be extremely persuasive.”
Link. The Econ Nobel is more like the literature Nobel than like the Physics Nobel. Noah would like ACJ’s theories to be true, but they are not falsifiable.
War crime: “Israeli soldiers and intelligence agents, throughout the war in Gaza, have regularly forced captured Palestinians like Mr. Shubeir to conduct life-threatening reconnaissance missions to avoid putting Israeli soldiers at risk on the battlefie
Link. Yeah, war crime.
Since Monterey APFS read-write disk images use sparse *files*
Link. “read-write disk images in sparse file format will help increase free disk space, their major benefit is in reducing ‘wear’”
Muskism, Vance, AI and the American choice between oligarchy and an imperfect democracy
Link. “But does democracy really have a chance? November 2024 is the test. If Americans, knowing all they know now, having lived through a Trump presidency, still reelect Donald Trump — then it’s clear our democracy is not up to the much greater challenge of even collective climate geoengineering — much less the AI transition.”
“This map of our climate future is fundamental to the choices we make and the decisions we take – but suddenly it has become unreliable”
Link. No comment
Apollo navigation: “one module of core rope memory took three months for someone to weave”
Link. Core memory was also code.
“all the software programs in the AGC were actually encoded in the hardware using the core rope memory …
… the AGC throw error codes and reboot several times during the decent…”
Anthropic CEO imagines a world after modestly superhuman AI.
Link. Happily there is no war between nations. Regardless, it’s a useful guide to what trillions of dollars thinks.
“If entropix is indeed allowing the LLM to not simply replicate reasoning steps, then maybe this really is the key to deeper reasoning”
Link. I just wrote about feeling reassured by a paper showing absence of reasoning. I hope entropix doesn’t change that.
“current LLMs cannot perform genuine logical reasoning; they replicate reasoning steps from their training data”
Link. “Adding a single clause that seems relevant to the question causes significant performance drops (up to 65%) across all state-of-the-art models”
Reassuring! Best news in months.
“one out of every four families in South Korea has a pet” (usually a dog)
Link. “In January, lawmakers passed a law that banned the country’s centuries-old practice of breeding and butchering dogs for human consumption.”
In 2003 US families adopting Korean children were told to never mention they had a dog at home.
In 2024 Seoul baby carriages almost always held small dogs. The rate of social change in SK is astounding.