Meanwhile in China: vast product production.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/business/china-manufacturing-exports-trump-tariffs.html

“China is using more factory robots than the rest of the world combined …. factory output is bigger than the combined manufacturing of the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea and Britain.”

But

“housing market crash since 2021 has wiped out much of the savings of the middle class and ruined many wealthy families.”

How Waltz added Goldberg to the Signal breach: “he number was erroneously saved during a “contact suggestion update” by Waltz’s iPhone, which one person described as the function where an iPhone algorithm adds a previously unknown number to an exist

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/apr/06/signal-group-chat-leak-how-it-happened

So funny. Done in by Apple being helpful. I bet that mistake happens fairly often.

Also, of course, why there are processes and tools around secure technologies to prevent errors like this.

This gets to the root of our true gov problems: “White House had authorized the use of Signal, largely because there is no alternative platform to text in real time across different agencies”

A pragmatic economist reviews the contradictions of Trump’s assault on world trade

https://www.twincities.com/2025/04/06/real-world-economics-the-flaws-in-trumps-liberation-reasoning-on-tariffs/

“While that tariff will hit every container of unprocessed products clearing customs, trucking, processing, warehousing and retailers’ costs here need not change.”

So a 10% tariff, even if borne entirely by Americans, may be significantly less than a 10% price increase. Good stuff in here.

“Given years to adjust to the new tariffs, seasonal vegetable production and canning could again be important in these mid-Atlantic states, although many farm fields have become suburbs.”

Rick Steves cheerful travelogue style one hour intro to fascism in 20th century Europe.

https://www.ricksteves.com/watch-read-listen/video/tv-show/fascism

Steves is best known for his chipper and very efficient guided tours of European museums and destinations. His voice guided my daughter and I through the Vatican museum in about 3 hours(!).

He applies this method to a MAGA-inspired tour of fascism. It’s engaging, brilliant, and wicked.

“When we wrote our book on administrative burdens, we pointed to Social Security as a model to emulate”

https://donmoynihan.substack.com/p/as-savings-crater-social-security

“SSA said that 40 percent of direct deposit fraud occurred via calls to the agency. That is wholly different, and massively less, than 40 percent of calls being fraudulent.”

The way to break social security is to degrade services. As Musk is doing. (Caveat: SSA has pretty bad software. It could be improved with time, money, and thought.)

Trump’s National Park Service makes a happier American history: “webpage changes resulted not from demands from above, but from lower-level employees seeking to comply with what they believed Trump wanted”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2025/04/06/national-park-service-underground-railroad-history-slavery/

Ben Franklin’s slaves fade away.

Trump loyalists advancing the MAGA agenda, as Project 2025 planned. Fear of job loss drove more expansive revisions.

Fear is the key.

“The notion that taxing Lesotho gemstones is necessary for the U.S. to add steel jobs in Ohio is so absurd that I briefly lost consciousness in the middle of writing this sentence.”

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/04/tariffs-trump-outcomes-incompatible/682286/?gift=gfZm1tfSiXkcDbEcUH-moKiYluBQDHkwVukxav480nc

This, dear NYT, is how you cover madness. I like how Thompson listed 3 incompatible post-hoc justifications from Team Trump.

Jared Bernstein: “we depend less on trade than most other countries. That means, as Trump has correctly argued, we can hurt them more than they can hurt us.”

https://contrarian.substack.com/p/a-trade-warfor-what

This essay assumes the US doesn’t invade Greenland or turn Canada into an American colony. Bernstein further assumes rational responses to the trade wars. Given those assumptions, what lies ahead for Americans is merely recession, growing misery, and general decline for decades to come.

Solid reference.

Musk takes down social security services: “downsize its phone operations … forced an influx of traffic to the SSA website. The strain of that traffic has reportedly caused the website to crash multiple times.”

https://gizmodo.com/doge-orders-layoffs-at-social-security-plans-to-gut-it-team-as-website-continually-breaks-report-2000585252

Twitter goes down and the world is briefly a better place. SSA goes down and vulnerable people suffer.

(This morning the site went down as we tried to document our disabled son’s income.)

Historian of reconstruction on the MAGA age: Crushing reconstruction.

https://www.salon.com/2025/04/04/from-the-confederacy-to-the-gilded-age-manisha-sinha-on-the-sorry-history-that-inspires-maga/

“even the robber barons were not that bad; at least they endowed some libraries and foundations and fellowships and had some idea of wanting to pretend to some sort of cultural capital. But here, at this moment, we are in a regime with these billionaires who seem unaccountable to anyone”

“offered reassignment to the Indian Health Service, which is the sort of thing that Elon Musk’s crew of young sociopaths probably regard as a funny joke”

https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/continuing-crisis-part-x-reductions-force-gains-centralized-power

Sociopaths or brats? Bad parenting or just bad luck?

“If a senior Trump appointee told me it was raining, I would first stick my head out the window for confirmation, and second make sure that they weren’t just pissing on my shoes.”

James Bruce, traveler: “he travelled by land from Tunis to Tripoli, and at Ptolemaida took passage for Candia; but was shipwrecked near Benghazi and had to swim ashore”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Bruce

18th century Scot, best known for first euro to trace Nile to Ethiopia. Fun wikipedia bio.

“presently returning to the desert to recover his journals and his baggage, which had been abandoned in consequence of the death of all his camels”

“several analysts remain focused less on recession calls than on trying to make sense of why so many people are feeling down about their economic lives.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/business/economy/wealth-cash-inequality.html

The article notes much wealth growth is not liquid – including home equity. So it overstates prosperity for many. Decreases in cash balances a hint.

I am happy at least some experts are asking the important “why”.

“collapse followed quickly after the leaders of these polities inexplicably and suddenly abandoned principles and practices that had successfully underpinned state-building and social stability”

https://www.nationofchange.org/2024/09/04/political-collapse-lessons-from-fallen-empires/

“China’s Ming Dynasty, the South Asian Mughal Empire, the High Roman Empire, and Renaissance Venice … the loss of citizen confidence in the leadership can trigger an unexpected unwinding of the societal threads that underpin inclusive forms of cooperation and devotion to a governing system designed to realize common good”

This topic needs more research but the short paper reminds us great empires can collapse very quickly for no obvious reason. Civilization is not a very stable condition.

From Signal to Arendt to falsifiability.

https://daringfireball.net/linked/2025/03/26/atlantic-releases-signal-thread

Arendt of course: “The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the convinced Communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction (i.e., the reality of experience) and the distinction between true and false (i.e., the standards of thought) no longer exist.”