https://fallows.substack.com/p/launching-the-economic-version-of
Readable and solid.
https://fallows.substack.com/p/launching-the-economic-version-of
Readable and solid.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/04/trump-tariffs-political-capital/682274/
Americans may now learn authoritarian rule is not all as much fun as it sounds. (Maybe.)
Which would give human civilization better survival odds.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/02/business/dealbook/trump-tariffs-europe-response.html
“anti-coercion instrument”.
I genuinely appreciated Joe Biden and said so often.
https://www.mobilize.us/moveon/event/766084/
What we do now.
https://gwynnedyer.com/2025/three-hours-in-greenland/
Cancel your vacation plans, you will be spending that money and time on your protest marches.
https://www.aeaweb.org/research/ordeals-selection-health-insurance
Nice study. Huge effect for relatively minor hassle. America “funds” many “benefits” by adding hassles. Checks the social safety net box.
https://mjtsai.com/blog/2025/04/01/xai-acquires-x-twitter/
Hiding the body.
https://heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/april-1-2025
Best coverage of the speech.
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/stop-looking-for-methods-in-the-madness
Somewhere there are dreams and visions. In the heads of Musk and Miller certainly. But they do not agree even before they are thrown into the chaotic blender of Trump’s dying rotted brain.
Sociopaths or brats? Bad parenting or just bad luck?
“If a senior Trump appointee told me it was raining, I would first stick my head out the window for confirmation, and second make sure that they weren’t just pissing on my shoes.”
https://leancrew.com/all-this/2025/04/a-macos-18-4-walpaper-bug/
I’ll wait for 18.4.1. If they broke this there are likely bigger problems.
If Trump can invade Greenland he will.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/01/world/asia/bangladesh-islam.html
Bangladesh has done far better than was expected in the 1980s. Now everything is at risk.
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-note-on-trade-deficits-and-manufacturing
The slow death of rural America is one of several contributors to the collapse of the GOP and the rise of MAGA. Globalization and IT are two others.
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/dont-make-an-idol-out-of-donald-trumps-will
Forget about Trump III.
https://musgrave.substack.com/p/the-social-science-of-ramadan
But happiness increases.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Bruce
18th century Scot, best known for first euro to trace Nile to Ethiopia. Fun wikipedia bio.
“presently returning to the desert to recover his journals and his baggage, which had been abandoned in consequence of the death of all his camels”
If true this is Trump-class stupid.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/business/economy/wealth-cash-inequality.html
The article notes much wealth growth is not liquid – including home equity. So it overstates prosperity for many. Decreases in cash balances a hint.
I am happy at least some experts are asking the important “why”.
https://www.semanticscholar.org/
This site shows up a lot in Perplexity reasoning chains. It’s funded by the Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence (AI2) and was launched in 2015.
Their blog has no feed. So they aren’t terribly bright. Still interesting.
https://www.theatlantic.com/family/archive/2025/03/marrying-down-wife-education-hypogamy/682223/
Some of the examples are wealthy small businessmen with no degree. Which is NOT a real change.
But there are signs of hope. Women are just smarter (on average).
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/30/us/politics/trump-south-africa-white-afrikaners-refugee.html
About 8,000 requests so far.
https://openai.com/index/introducing-4o-image-generation/
It’s a marketing post but with some solid discussions and interesting examples.
https://www.nationofchange.org/2024/09/04/political-collapse-lessons-from-fallen-empires/
“China’s Ming Dynasty, the South Asian Mughal Empire, the High Roman Empire, and Renaissance Venice … the loss of citizen confidence in the leadership can trigger an unexpected unwinding of the societal threads that underpin inclusive forms of cooperation and devotion to a governing system designed to realize common good”
This topic needs more research but the short paper reminds us great empires can collapse very quickly for no obvious reason. Civilization is not a very stable condition.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/03/28/rfk-jr-fda-vaccine-scientist-peter-marks/
The GOP won its war on science. They will be hated.
https://www.bannedinyourstate.com/p/the-defiance-of-coyotes
Lovely writing – with the subtext of life beneath Musk. We have bold coyotes in our city. They demand respect. Even mid-day doing the territory rounds.
Don’t be a snowflake. Be the coyote.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/25/us/signal-leak-vance-trump.html
Trump does not like being reminded that he is cognitively limited. He knows Vance looks down on him. The hate is strong in them.
https://daringfireball.net/linked/2025/03/26/atlantic-releases-signal-thread
Arendt of course: “The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the convinced Communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction (i.e., the reality of experience) and the distinction between true and false (i.e., the standards of thought) no longer exist.”
https://daringfireball.net/linked/2025/03/26/the-atlantic-has-an-owner-committed-to-the-cause
Good comment that Bezos would have blocked WaPo publication.
https://eclecticlight.co/2025/03/27/controlling-launchservices-in-macos-sequoia/
macOS has too many weird dependencies.
“LaunchServices now tries to include all apps in accessible volumes and folders.”
I think this is pre-Mojave.
https://daringfireball.net/linked/2025/03/25/trump-has-surrounded-himself-with-idiots
RFK. Hegseth. Gabbard. Musk.
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/incompetent-or-evil-a-false-dichotomy
Musk sees the bigger picture. One where people are too small to see and mundane morality is a weakness.
https://gizmodo.com/something-strange-happens-to-brains-during-a-marathon-2000580554
As also seen in animal studies — under extreme exercise brains feed off the lipids in myelin. We don’t know if this is good, fine, or not great.
https://www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/six-short-thoughts-on-the-most-insane-trump-story-of-all-time
Good list of observations.
Imagine all the stupid shit they do where they don’t give a journalist the scoop of a lifetime.
Everyone has heard this, but I wanted to record for my records.
https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/evolving-ability-evolve
“the fundamental logic of natural selection is indifferent to level of organization or timescale, and provided that variation, reproduction, and heredity exist, selection can shape traits that are adaptive at levels beyond the individual”
Ally of JFK. There is *great* opportunity in scamming the vulnerable. I wonder if most of his victims are mostly MAGA.
Good comparison to the fall of Prasad. These people often believe. And they tend to fall deeper and deeper into delusion.
https://contrarian.substack.com/p/cowardice-and-capitulation-stain
No courage. No honor.
https://toosimple.substack.com/p/deepseek-play
Much is censored, but it is easy to see at heart DeepSeek “wants” Xi gone.
Ask it about “China Spring”.
Trump is delusional. Beyond that I was impressed by how many tariffs are already in place.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/23/world/asia/cambodia-money-laundering-huione.html
“One company department handles customer relations for scammers and other illicit actors.”
Cambodia is a world center for scams.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/22/health/dementia-rates-elderly.html
For 85-89yo prevalence 23% in 1905 cohort, 1915 18%, 1935 11%, 1945 8%.
Reasonable explanations include BP meds, statins, decreased smoking, better air quality. I’d add fewer lifetime head injuries — Boxing was extremely popular from 1920s to 1940s and nobody wore helmets at work or play. I suspect the incidence will stabilize at around 8% though.
https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/the-cybernetic-teammate
“… 0.37 standard deviation improvement over the baseline … one person with AI could match what previously required two-person collaboration.”
These are *expert* users in an impressive controlled experiment at P&G.
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/book-review-abundance
I agree with some of Smith’s criticisms. He loses the thread when he gets into class resentment.
https://arutherford.substack.com/p/human-evolution-a-one-million-year
Homo erectus? Something we haven’t identified?
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adw5211
I finally understand why DeepSeek training was cheaper.